Which center would you pay more?
Two big men through their rookie contracts — without knowing where they were drafted.
| Center A | Center B |
| Minutes (Yrs 1–4) | 7,247 | 9,117 |
| True Shooting | .623 | .651 |
| Per 75 possessions | 19.2 pts · 12.4 reb · 1.2 blk | 15.1 pts · 11.7 reb · 2.0 blk |
| BPM (Yrs 1–4) | +1.14 | +1.16 |
| xRAPM (Yrs 1–4) | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| Contract Year xRAPM (Year 4) | +0.50 | +0.70 |
Take a guess before you reveal.
Deandre Ayton
Pick 1 · 2018
Blind model valuation
17.6% of cap
Actual second contract
25.0% of cap
$30.9M in year one — the maximum
Jarrett Allen
Pick 22 · 2017
Blind model valuation
16.7% of cap
Actual second contract
17.8% of cap
$20.0M flat per year
The model valued them almost identically. The market didn’t.